Top Indicators of Mortgage Rates

mortgage rate top indicators

The Top Indicator if You Want To Know Where Mortgage Rates Are Heading


The new year has brought about a continuous increase in today’s real estate market mortgage rates. Presently, it is crucial to assess the state of the real estate market, as well as how a little increase in mortgage rates can affect your financial viability.

According to the results of Freddie Mac’s primary mortgage market survey, the typical 30-year fixed-rate mortgages have risen from 3.22% at the beginning of the year to 3.55% as of the previous week. Any rise in mortgage rates has an impact on what a buyer can finance. 

Knowing the treasury yield’s dynamics isn’t as vital as recognizing that there’s a link between how it changes and how mortgage rates fluctuate. The treasury yield has begun to rise, which has pushed rates higher. The treasury yield was 1.81 percent as of last Thursday. That’s 1.74% lower than the mortgage rate of 3.55% released the same day, and it’s fairly close to the average margin of 1.7%. As per the latest Wall Street Journal poll, 95% of industry experts predict that the 10-year Treasury yield will rise to 2.84% throughout 2024, putting mortgage rates at 4.5 percent. This implies that the expected increase in rates will only be about 0.8 percentage points within the next three years. Although it’s hard to anticipate where mortgage rates will go, looking at the 50-year history of the 10-year treasury yield and following its course is a good predictor of where they might go.

Buyers ought to be aware that mortgage rates are rising in the opposite direction, especially if you are a first-time homeowner or are in the process of purchasing another property. A low rate could be regarded as excellent news for people looking to invest in a property. However, because interest rates are rising, buyers need to move swiftly if they want to buy a home before the mortgage rates rise again.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling a home, this rise in mortgage rates is something to keep in mind. A fixed-rate mortgage has a rate of interest that is expected to be the same throughout the loan’s duration. A variable-rate mortgage, on the other hand, can fluctuate with short-term interest rates. If you’re looking to have greater consistency in monthly payments, then a fixed-rate mortgage may be for you.

We don’t know what tomorrow will bring. Higher interest rates and low home availability could push the cost of mortgages higher—and it will only be more difficult to be a firsttime buyer.

That’s why the time for a plan is now. Reach out to The Naples Agent and start the process NOW!